10 July 2024 – Qualitative climate scenario analysis: a practical workshop

Online roundtable with Cardano.

Only members with restricted access (ie. academics, asset owners, government and regulatory, independent advisers/trustees and sponsoring employers) can view this article. Please login or join to view.


Climate scenario analysis is a crucial way to manage your investments. Recently, however, the pitfalls of using data-driven quantitative climate models have begun to show, leading many investors to look for a more robust way to carry out their analysis.

During this workshop, Cardano discussed the merits of integrating proprietary research and ‘qualitative’ scenario analysis. They explained how this can be achieved, shared their experience of integrating it into their strategies and guided participants through a practical example.

Cardano also covered systemic risks, including climate change and biodiversity loss, looking at how this type of analysis can help you make more informed decisions about portfolio strategy and manager selection, as well as where time and effort can be most effectively focused.

Who should attend?

This event was open to asset owners such as pension funds, professional trustees, independent advisers, consultants and government representatives.


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Speaker biography

Keith Guthrie, Head of Sustainability, Cardano UK and NOW: Pensions

Keith is the Head of Sustainability for Cardano UK and for NOW: Pensions, a member of the Sustainability Policy Committee and a partner in the firm. He focuses on the development and integration of sustainability into Cardano’s investment offerings for UK clients and for NOW: Pensions, working closely with their in-house teams, clients and trustees. Before moving to the Sustainability Group in 2023, Keith co-led Cardano’s investment teams for 15 years.

Prior to joining Cardano in 2008, Keith worked at GAM and RMB International managing a variety of multi-asset portfolios. Keith graduated from the University of the Witwatersrand, South Africa, with a BSc (Hons) in Statistics & Actuarial Science and is a Fellow of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries.


Richard Giles, Senior Director and Community Lead, Pensions for Purpose 

Richard is a Senior Director at Pensions for Purpose and responsible for working with our Community Partners, setting our strategic themes and putting on events for all members of our network.  

Richard has over 30 years experience working in the pension industry as an adviser, senior executive, board member and trustee. He has a portfolio of Board Roles covering finance, education and looking after the planet.  

Pensions for Purpose

Pensions for Purpose exists as a bridge between asset managers, pension funds and their professional advisers, to encourage the flow of capital towards impact investment. Our aim is to empower pension funds to seek positive impact opportunities and mitigate negative impact risks.

Our Community allows members to learn from leaders in the impact investment industry. We provide a trusted environment to interact, collaborate and share knowledge. Members engage in a programme of activity to shape their strategy in ESG, sustainable and impact investments.

For more information, please email the Membership Manager.