Focusing on long-term change is less 'speculative' than assumed – Artemis Investment Management

Humans often view long-term forecasts with suspicion. But as Craig Bonthron explains, some long-term predictions can be made with a surprising degree of accuracy and so are incredibly valuable to investors.

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... Many long-term predictions are reliable; many short-term predictions are not. - The cost of many technologies is falling predictably and exponentially. - Focusing on long-term change is therefore less ‘speculative’ than is often assumed.

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